Worked example

Novartis at FDPS

As of the edition of 20 October 2026, Novartis is on route B at FDPS (farnesyl pyrophosphate synthase), position 1 of 2,016 on that route, with a score of 0.817.

Sources: ClinicalTrials.gov, approval registers, ChEMBL, FDA Orange Book and Purple Book.

Route and score

Route B  Score 0.817

Biology proven in humans0.88
How much the company cares0.92
Room, and a reason to act now0.67

Each part runs from 0 to 1; 0.5 is neutral, and an unknown fact counts as neutral.

What moved the score

Proof in humans at the target+0.294
Took its own drug far in human testing+0.225
Active at the target or its disease area recently+0.200
Few other companies active at the target+0.128
Trials at the target more often meet than miss their main endpoint+0.083
The company’s own follow-on drug+0.044
Why its own drug stopped0.000

The facts that decided the route

  • Does the company have its own row at this target, rather than being counted under a drug that acts on many targets? The company has its own row at this target As of 20 October 2026.
  • Has the company not been dissolved without a successor? The company still exists or has a successor As of 19 November 2009.
  • Does the company have a marketed drug at this target? The company has a marketed drug at this target As of 31 October 1991.
  • Does the company have no approved follow-on drug at this target? Not yet established. As of 10 November 2000.
  • Is the protein the drug acts on identified, and not only a complex it belongs to? The protein the drug acts on is on record, not only its complex As of 20 October 2026.
  • Does a source say which of the drug's many targets it is designed for? The target the drug is designed for is established As of 20 October 2026.

The drugs

DrugStatusFurthest phaseTrialsUS protection
Zoledronic acid anhydrousMarketedPhase 4287none listed
Pamidronic acidMarketedPhase 426none listed

The trials behind it

TrialDrugPhaseStatusYearsParticipantsResult
NCT00171925Zoledronic acid anhydrousPhase 3Terminated2000 to 2008143No results posted
The registry records: “Recruitment in study could not be reached after 8 yrs of recruiting”
NCT00005073Zoledronic acid anhydrousPhase 3Terminated1999 to 2003544No results posted
NCT00051636Zoledronic acid anhydrousPhase 3Completed2001 to 2011172No results posted
NCT00738257Pamidronic acidPhase 4Completed2000126No results posted
NCT00003884Zoledronic acid anhydrousPhase 3Completed1998 to 2001600No results posted

All companies at FDPS · Novartis’s page